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Archive for December, 2008

Whale of a Trade!

Published by admin under Trading Resources on December 31, 2008

The most heavily traded commodity of the mid–nineteenth century was, of course, whale oil — prized as fuel, energy source, food and, in a pinch, as a lubricant for all manner of household and marital needs. And the epicenter of the whale-oil world was the island of Nantucket. In 1851, seeing a prime business opportunity, the editors of Trader Monthly moved the magazine’s offices there, across the street from the Nantucket Venerable Whale Oil Exchange, in order to monitor this vital market. Times were good: Under guest editor Herman Melville, readership increased tenfold; the whale-obsessed denizens of Nantucket, it seemed, simply could not get enough whale-related news about whales. Unfortunately, magazine management kept costs low by hiring only semi-literate dockhands on seasonal leave from the wharf — a staffing tactic that backfired when it became evident that the new hires preferred to settle all editorial disputes via the seafaring method of “harpooning to the death.” Layoffs ensued.

Excerpt: How many times, need we even query, have you strode jauntily across the deck of your whaling-junk, only to lose your purchase and tumble ass-over-teakettle into the briny deep — all because your peg leg, in time of greatest need, was simply not peggy enough? Fret no more, for this season’s newest legs, carved of sturdiest Staten Island mahogany and reinforced with whale-bone inserts, are the finest we’ve yet strapped to our swollen lower extremities. Need to saunter with great purpose from ship to ship while dock’d? Seeking full peggy stability whilst firing a harpoon from a deck made slick by blubber and blood? You will surely never forget the accursed Humpback attack that led to the loss of your lower forelimb, but a quick buckle-fasten of a new, e’er-more-peggy leg will render your stride as crisp as that of a young whaler!

Excerpt: It seemed a capital idea to bestow upon heralded whaling captain Wilhelm Smithee (he of the 661 credited kills) $10 to trade in the markets. Yet after 3 days in which he failed to cross the transom of the Whale Oil Exchange to begin his trades, we assembled a search posse — which located Smithee in a decrepit inn-room above the Blow Hole Tavern. Scandalous! We discovered the famed whaler in flagrante delicto with 3 scurvy dock trollops and 2 midget townsfolk, the lot of them denuded of bedclothes. The most avoirdupois strumpet, a hoop-skirt harridan known to all as “Miss Maxie,” was found thrashing about in a cast-iron tub in the bath-chamber, play-acting the part of an ill-tempered Right Whale while Captain Smithee, rum-drunk to the earlobes, attempted to spear her with a silver dinner fork. O, outcome most foul!

Excerpt: Much attention is rightly focused on the whale-oil markets — but any trader worth a sop-bucket of warm krill would be remiss were he to neglect the secondary blubber-markets. “The whale-oil markets are clogged with the ructions of maladroit speculators — mostly ­duplicitous Norsemen and scurrilous Newfoundlanders,” says stock-jobber Josiah Van Sned, who seeks handsomer returns by the more unsung commodity. “Why, blubber is as useful to the common man as the grease-rag is to the steerage slave!” he exults. “My family eats it! My home is insulated by it! I melt it down and bathe in it; my children make candles of it to illuminate our nightly games of cock-a-hoop! My precious Matilda, meanwhile, applies a coating of it nightly, and not since James K. Polk was in short-pants has she looked so radiant!”

Excerpt: This year’s new-model cetacean weaponry is, in our experience, unparalleled in its capacity for wanton slaughter. Indeed, the Remington Arms Lancet Whale-Slay ‘51 looks as though it could puncture the hide of the mightiest Baleen from a distance of some 2 furlongs — an estimate we assayed by ascending to our roof-top and firing it toward Farmer McCoy’s prizedHere­fords, scoring three direct hits in nary 4 minutes. Less mirthful events, alas, were transpiring down-stairs, where 1 ale-crazed editor trained his Lancet on 8-year-old Jiminy Cubbins, the mentally deficient town-boy who pays a visit twice weekly to empty the chamber-pots. The gun discharged, resulting in an unfortunate flesh-wound that within moments was looking, by the light of our whale-oil lamp, a trifle gangrenous. Such, however, is the price of whaling progress. Keep on limping, Jiminy!

Trader Daily � Whale of a Trade!

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AIG Seeks Fed Relief on Asset Sales

Published by admin under Trading Resources on December 31, 2008

The battered insurer reportedly is asking Bernanke to cut it some slack on terms for prospective deals. AIG management thinks the changes will help it avoid it making disposals at fire-sale prices.
Morning Call: December 31

AIG, the insurer bailed out by the US government, is prepared to ask the Federal Reserve to relax rules on its $60bn-plus disposals programme to allow bidders to use a greater proportion of shares to pay for its assets.

People close to the situation said AIG was looking at installment payments and other flexible options in an effort to make it easier for potential buyers to bid for assets and increase its chances of surviving as an independent company. The moves, being considered by AIG’s management, are aimed at boosting competition for the disposals and countering the perception that the company will be forced to sell units at bargain prices to repay the government aid.

Under the current deal with the Fed, which has bailed out AIG twice this year – most recently in November, extending the rescue package to $150bn – the insurer can sell assets only to bidders paying at least 90 per cent of the price in cash.

This provision is designed to ensure that AIG has enough cash to pay both the interest and the principal on a five-year $60bn government loan as well as $4bn a year in interest on $40bn of preferred shares owned by the authorities.

Trader Daily � AIG Seeks Fed Relief on Asset Sales

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John Paulson Blasts Rival Hedge Funds

Published by admin under Trading Resources on December 31, 2008

The prescient money manager says using gates is for barbarians, and if other hedge funds were just smart enough, they could easily find ways to raise cash. And while he’s still thinks the economy is not yet ready to rebound, he’s out there bottom fishing.
Morning Call: December 31

John Paulson, who runs the $36 billion hedge-fund firm Paulson & Co., has some harsh words for his peers and their tendency this year to block or curb clients’ attempts to get their money back.

“We think it’s a mistake for managers to use gates and other tools to limit investor access to their funds,” Paulson wrote in a 2009 outlook to investors. “While we recognize the difficulties of the current environment, we think it is a manager’s responsibility to raise liquidity to meet the redemption needs of their investors.”

Paulson, 53, can make his case for client-friendly policies because he made money for investors this year. His largest fund, the $13 billion Paulson Advantage Plus has climbed about 38 percent through Dec. 19, according to the undated report, making it the best performer among multibillion-dollar funds.

Most hedge-fund managers have had a tougher year than Paulson. On average, these private partnerships tumbled 18 percent through November, according to data compiled by Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research Inc. Industry assets could shrink as much as $800 billion from their June 30 peak, starting 2009 with about $1.1 trillion, according to estimates by Morgan Stanley.

Trader Daily � John Paulson Blasts Rival Hedge Funds

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Six Degrees of Bernie Madoff

Published by admin under Trading Resources on December 31, 2008

The Who’s Who list of purportedly burned Madoff investors grows longer as “Dr. Doom” Henry Kaufman apparently did not see this catastrophe coming. And much to the delight parlor-game players everywhere, it looks like Kevin Bacon may be finally ready to make a Footloose sequel in order to raise some cash.
Morning Call: December 31

A prominent Wall Street economist, Hollywood actor Kevin Bacon and his wife are the latest people to have lost money on investments connected to accused swindler Bernard Madoff, according to media reports.

Economist Henry Kaufman lost several million dollars, which he had in a brokerage account with Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities for more than five years, the Wall Street Journal said, citing Kaufman in an interview on Tuesday.

The president of financial consulting firm Henry Kaufman & Co said his Madoff loss was no more than a couple of percent of his entire net worth and immaterial to his financial well-being, the paper said.

Kaufman became known for correctly forecasting higher inflation and interest rates when he was chief economist with Salomon Brothers in the 1970s and 1980s, when he acquired the moniker “Doctor Doom.”

Trader Daily � Six Degrees of Bernie Madoff

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